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Examiners cited the economic outlook and risk appetite as the primary reasons for tightened standards across all product lines. Secondary reasons came from changes in risk appetite and concerns with loan performance or portfolio quality. While the economic outlook was a main concern for all commercial products, it continues to be the most pronounced for commercial real estate (CRE) products. For larger institutions, the disruption in financial markets that began in the second half of 2007 had a significant impact on the leveraged finance and syndicated loan markets; the disruption continued through the end of the 2009 survey period. The lack of liquidity in secondary markets is considered a material contributing factor for tightened standards for large corporate, middle market and leveraged loans. Credit spreads, or the compensation for assuming credit risk, continues to be the primary underwriting method that banks use to manage the credit risk in their loan portfolios. However, banks have also increased the use of covenants, collateral, guarantor support, and size of credit lines to control risks in their portfolios. Selected Product Trends Underwriting standards tightened for all commercial loan products surveyed. The most prevalent tightening occurred in CRE loans, middle market, small business, and large corporate loans. Examiners reported a few isolated instances of eased commercial credit underwriting standards in asset-based and other CRE products. Commercial Real Estate CRE products include commercial residential construction, commercial construction, and other CRE loans. These products are offered by virtually all of the surveyed banks. CRE remains a primary concern among examiners, given the rapid growth of these exposures and banks' significant concentrations relative to their capital. Net tightening, which measures the difference between the percentage of banks tightening compared with those easing, was greatest in commercial residential construction, followed by commercial construction and other commercial real estate. Examiners most often cited the following reasons for strengthening of CRE underwriting standards:
Examiners indicated that overall CRE credit risk increased at 96 percent of the banks since the previous survey and is expected to increase during the next survey year at 98 percent of the banks. Driving the assessment of increased credit risk are external conditions, downward trends in collateral values, weakening debt service capacity, and current and expected levels of problem loans. The next three tables provide the breakdown by each real estate type. Thirty-nine banks (or 66 percent) of the 59 banks in the survey offer commercial residential construction loan products. Examiners noted that the slow moving home sales and depressed home values are delaying the recovery in the housing market. Certain markets, notably Florida, California, Arizona, and Nevada, have seen a more pronounced deterioration than the rest of the country. Foreclosures continue to escalate, and banks are reducing their exposure in residences with one to four units and condos in light of the weak economic environment and high levels of nonperforming, criticized/classified assets, and losses. The following table shows that 92 percent of banks surveyed for the 2009 survey tightened underwriting standards for commercial residential construction while none reported easing standards.
Examiners reported that the continued economic downturn, job losses, and a decline in consumer spending are adversely affecting retail, office, and industrial sectors and are receiving elevated attention by 46 of the banks in the survey. Retail properties had the most concerns raised by examiners because of declining consumer confidence and spending levels, weak retail sales, increased store closings, and increased numbers of bankruptcy and liquidations in the retail sector. Examiners indicated that the multifamily sector seems to be holding its own; however, some major metropolitan areas may see apartment rentals adversely affected by job losses. In addition, the lack of a commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) market has reduced availability of term financing by the securitization market reflecting concern over significant drops in property cash flows and a higher incidence of tenant defaults. The following table shows that 80 percent of banks surveyed this report tightened underwriting standards for commercial construction while none reported easing standards.
As with commercial residential and commercial construction, examiners reported that this sector's declining values, increasing vacancy and significant reduction in permanent market liquidity has triggered a change in risk appetite. In some cases, failed syndications have resulted in banks retaining a higher level of originated loans on their balance sheets. The following table shows that 76 percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for other CRE while 2 percent reported easing standards.
Middle Market Loans Examiners reported a significant change in underwriting standards at 42 of the 59 banks that had middle market loan portfolios since last year's survey. The move to more conservative underwriting by the banks is driven by increasing credit problems, the impact of the recession on businesses, less competition, and decreased liquidity in the market. Examiners reported that banks are attempting to control credit risk and limit potential losses in this portfolio. Comments made indicate that banks are concerned that as the economy worsens, middle market companies will have deteriorating financial performance, which will affect cash flow and overall staying power of these companies. The level of credit risk in middle market loans increased at 92 percent of the banks with this product. Examiners expect this risk to increase over the next 12 months at 96 percent of the banks. As with other sectors, the economy is the driving factor in examiners' increased risk assessment. However, concerns were also noted with the employment outlook, increases in classified loans and past due trends. The following table shows that 67 percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for middle market loans while none reported easing standards.
Small Business Loans Examiners reported that 42 of the 59 surveyed banks tightened standards in their small business products. We note that there are varying definitions of small business lending among the surveyed banks. However, regardless of definitional variances, examiners reported tightened underwriting standards and increased risk for small business in line with other surveyed products. Examiners cited changes in the company's financial condition, combined with the economic outlook, as the major reasons for tightened credit. Examiners indicated that small business credit risk increased at 84 percent of the banks since the prior survey, and expect the risk will continue to increase over the next year at 95 percent of the banks. Changes in external conditions and portfolio quality were the reasons most frequently cited to support the assessment for this increased level of risk. The following table shows that 64 percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for small business loans while none reported easing standards.
Large Corporate Loans Before the market disruption of late 2007, institutional investors heavily influenced underwriting standards in this market segment. However, because of weaknesses in the economy, the lack of secondary market liquidity, less competition, and declining portfolio quality, examiners reported that banks tightened standards and are being more conservative in their lending practices. Other factors contributing to tighter standards include the possible trickle down impact of the real estate problems on this sector, coupled with increased economic risk in companies associated with automotive and retail. Examiners at 35 of the 59 banks in the survey reported that banks are looking for borrowers with stronger balance sheets with diversified cash flows, with a goal of reducing risk in this portfolio. Examiners reported that credit risk in this product increased at 86 percent of the banks since last year's survey and expect this risk to increase at 97 percent of the banks over the next year. The economic recession and the corresponding impact on borrowers remains as the principal driver on risk within the portfolio. Examiners stated that credit risk will likely increase as many borrowers attempt to downsize their operations to adjust to economic challenges within their industry sector. Because of the challenges facing these borrowers, examiners expect that the levels of criticized and classified credits in these portfolios are likely to increase through 2009. The following table shows that 60 percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for large corporate loans while none reported easing standards.
Originate to Hold Versus Originate to Sell This is the second annual survey to assess the differences in underwriting between loans originated to hold in the banks' own loan portfolios and loans originated to sell in the marketplace. Of the 59 banks surveyed, 29 percent originated loans both to hold or to sell. In this year's survey, examiners indicate that the majority (86 percent) of the banks originated loans in the various product lines with generally the same underwriting standards regardless of intent to hold or distribute. When standards differed, banks typically mitigated risks of loss through conservative limits on exposures held. These limits were breached in some banks when secondary market liquidity declined. The most notable difference in underwriting standards in this year's survey is for leveraged loans. While most leveraged loans underwritten with the intent to sell were underwritten on the same terms as those held for investment, examiners observed a higher incidence of leveraged loans underwritten differently than was observed for other loans types. New leveraged loan volume was low in the 2009 survey. Examiners noted that loans underwritten in the current market were generally more conservatively underwritten as evidenced by reduced leverage, higher debt service coverage, and increased loan covenants. The continued tightening of underwriting standards for all loans, whether intended for sale or investment, is a direct result of changes in the economic outlook and market liquidity.
Retail Underwriting StandardsExaminers reported continued tightening in retail underwriting standards in the 2009 survey, citing economic factors as the major basis for the change. Tightened standards were noted in 83 percent of the reporting banks, up from 68 percent in last year's survey. None reported easing retail underwriting standards.
In cases when underwriting standards were tightened, examiners noted that banks frequently cited more stringent collateral requirements, closely followed by scorecard changes, pricing and loan fees, and debt service requirements. This conclusion is based primarily on responses relative to real estate lending products, the most prevalent products offered by the surveyed banks. Survey results also indicated a reduction in the types of mortgage products offered. No surveyed banks offered payment option adjustable rate mortgages during the survey year. Examiners indicated that there was lower tolerance for underwriting exceptions for all types of retail credit. Easing was noted for only one product in one bank, representing less than one percent of total responses. Examiners reported increased retail credit risk in at least one product at 56 of the 58 banks that offered retail products. This increased level of risk was most pronounced in home equity, indirect consumer, and credit card lending. Examiners cited concerns about general economic conditions and portfolio performance resulting from prior years' liberal underwriting as the basis for increased risk levels. Examiners expect retail credit risk to continue to increase over the next 12 months at 87 percent of the banks, particularly in home equity and credit card portfolios. Selected Product Trends In this year's survey, examiners reported continued tightening of credit standards in a significant number of the surveyed retail loan products. In fact, the responses indicated tightened standards for 71 percent of retail loan products, and no change in the standards for 29 percent. Examiners noted easing of standards for less than 1 percent of retail loan products. Residential Real Estate As shown in the next three tables, tighter underwriting standards were prevalent in residential real estate and home equity lending products. No banks eased standards in any of these products. Examiners stated that underwriting standards tightened mainly because of the dramatic changes in economic conditions and poor portfolio performance brought on by more liberal underwriting standards in prior years, particularly 2005 through 2007 originations. Some banks responded to the current residential real estate downturn by ceasing to offer certain products. For example, all 14 of the banks that had previously offered high LTV home equity loans either exited the product in the last 12 months or are planning to do so in the next 12 months. Fewer banks—six of the 52 banks with the product—have exited or will exit residential real estate mortgage lending. Similarly, three of 51 reporting banks have exited or will exit conventional home equity lending. As shown below, ninety-three percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for high LTV home equity loans; 73 percent for residential real estate, and 78 percent for conventional home equity lending. None reported easing standards.
Indirect Consumer Lending Tighter underwriting standards were prevalent in indirect consumer lending products. Much like real estate related lending, examiners stated that underwriting standards tightened mainly because of the dramatic changes in economic conditions and poor portfolio performance brought on by more liberal underwriting standards in prior years, particularly 2005 through 2007. Twenty-seven of the surveyed banks offer indirect consumer lending products. Of those, 14 banks (or 52 percent) either exited the product in the last 12 months, or will within the next 12 months. The following table shows that 74 percent of banks surveyed tightened underwriting standards for indirect consumer lending. No banks eased standards in this product.
Originate to Hold Versus Originate to Sell National banks originate most retail credit products to hold. At the product level, 69 percent of products were originated exclusively to hold. Another 28 percent of the products were originated both to hold and to sell. Only 3 percent were originated exclusively to sell. These percentages are unchanged from the 2008 survey. Products held and sold, and sold only, consist primarily of residential mortgage and affordable housing loans. Surveyed banks typically originated residential mortgage and home equity loans in their retail branches. Broker and correspondent channels combined accounted for 14 percent of residential mortgage originations and 5 percent of home equity loans. In most banks that originated both to hold and to sell, the underwriting standards for the two groups of originations did not differ. In banks whose underwriting standards for the two groups did differ, the primary differences were in pricing and fees.
Part II: Graphs and TablesGraphs
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