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Re-Default Rates of Modified Loans: 30 or More Days Delinquent

First Quarter 2009

Modification re-default measured as 30 or more days delinquent or in the process of foreclosure is an early indicator of loans that may need additional attention to prevent more serious delinquency or foreclosure.21  The data showed that re-defaults measured as 30 or more days delinquent have continued to increase over time, with more than 60 percent of all modifications implemented in the first and second quarters of 2008 delinquent at nine and 12 months after the modification, respectively.  Modifications implemented in the fourth quarter of 2008 showed lower delinquencies after three months than modifications implemented in the second and third quarters.

Modified Loans 30 or More Days Delinquent
(30+ Re-Default Rate for 2008 Modifications)
Modification DateThree Months after ModificationSix Months after ModificationNine Months after Modification12 Months
after Modification

First Quarter

40.4%

53.0%

59.9%

63.3%

Second Quarter

46.6%

58.8%

61.1%

--

Third Quarter

50.4%

59.5%

--

--

Fourth Quarter

45.9%

--

--

--

 Modified Loans 30 or More Days Delinquent 

21 Data include only those modifications that have had sufficient time to age the indicated number of months.


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